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The “Sustainable Energy Transformations in Aviation (SETA)” project aimed to contribute to an acceleration of sustainable energy transformations in aviation, with a focus on bio-based jet fuels and electric aircrafts. The project was exploring the socio-technical opportunities and barriers related to these transformations.

The project analysed the socio-technical, policy-related and environmental opportunities and barriers for reducing greenhouse gas emissions in the aviation sector, with a focus on sustainable aviation fuels (SAF) including both advanced biofuels and electro-fuels, electric aviation and green hydrogen. The project had an interdisciplinary approach with roots in industrial economics and management, political science and life cycle assessment (LCA). 3 PhD students successfully passed their PhDs in September, October and December 2025 as part of the Energy Agency’s Forskarskola Energisystem (FoES). The methods used for this research included expert interviews, focus group discussions, policy analysis, data analysis and LCA.

The SETA project identified opportunities to mitigate aviation emissions through up-scaling SAF, electric propulsion and green hydrogen, but implementation is hindered by technological, infrastructural, economic, social, political and environmental barriers.

The study shows that SAF is already used as a drop-in fuel at many Swedish and international airports, with growing investments and off-take agreements. Strong European policies such as ReFuelEU Aviation, Fit for 55 and the EU Emission Trading Scheme (ETS), together with the Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation (CORSIA), provide long-term frameworks for scaling SAF, although production remains limited and costs high. Overcoming these barriers requires targeted investment, risk-sharing and supportive policy instruments.

Small electric 2-seater aircraft already operate in Sweden, and hybrid-electric aircraft for regional routes may operate commercially in a few years, after certification of new aircrafts, improvements in battery technology and expansion of charging infrastructure. Electric aviation could strengthen regional connectivity, including to islands.
Hydrogen-based aviation faces delays and major challenges in aircraft design, large-scale hydrogen production, transport and storage, and requires large amounts of renewable electricity. While SAF, electric propulsion and green hydrogen can reduce greenhouse gas emissions, burden-shifting to other environmental impacts may occur, such as mineral depletion.

In Sweden, social movements like “flight shame” have gained traction, contributing to reduced air travel and increased train use, and aviation has become politically polarised.
Overcoming these challenges requires stable long-term policy frameworks and predictable financial instruments to support the transition from fossil fuels to cleaner fuels and technologies. In conclusion, sustainability transitions in Swedish aviation are emerging, but more political, economic and social support is needed to scale them beyond technical solutions.

Read Final Report here

Policy Briefs

Publications

Doctoral thesis

Emily Chritley (2025).

Celeste Lai (2025). Navigating within the planetary limits. A prospective life cycle environmental sustainability assessment in support of the energy transition in Swedish aviation.

Aneta Kulanovic (2025).

Scientific articles

Kulanovic, A., Raghunatha, A., Nordensvärd, J., Thollander, P., forthcoming. Analyzing Discursive Policy Leadership Using Regime Narratives in Sweden’s Emerging Drone Transport for Sustainability Transition. Sustainable Futures, in press.

Christley, E., 2025. Performing legitimacy in electric aviation: The innovation journey of Heart Aerospace. Energy Research & Social Science, 127, 104261. doi: 10.1016/j.erss.2025.104261.

Christley, E., Lai, Y. Y., Björner Brauer, H. & Almqvist Ingersoll, A. 2025. A beginner’s guide to reflexivity in energy research and social science. Energy Research & Social Science, 127, 104267.

Christley, E., Karakaya, E., Urban, F., 2024. Analysing transitions in-the-making: A case study of aviation in Sweden. Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions. Vol. 50(2024): 100790.

Christley, E. & Ullström, S., 2024. Desired or contested futures? Competing discourse-coalitions for sustainable aviation in Sweden. Critical Policy Studies, 1-22.

Kulanovic, A. & Nordensvärd, J., 2021. Exploring the political discursive lock-ins on sustainable aviation in Sweden. Energies, 14(21).

Lai, Y. Y. & Björklund, A., 2025. Prospective life cycle assessment of future Swedish hydrogen powered aviation pathways. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 146, 104887.

Lai, Y.Y. & Karakaya, E., 2024. Rethinking the sustainability of transitions: An illustrative case of burden-shifting and sociotechnical dynamics of aviation fuel in Sweden. Energy Research & Social Science, 113, p.103574.

Lai, Y. Y. & Laurent, A., 2025. Can hydrogen powered air travel grow within the planetary limits? Sustainable Production and Consumption, 59, pp. 143 160.

Lai, Y.Y., Christley, E., Kulanovic, A., Teng, C.C., Björklund, A., Nordensvärd, J., Karakaya, E., Urban, F., 2022a. Analysing the opportunities and challenges for mitigating the climate impact of aviation: A narrative review. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Vol. 156(3): 111972.

Lai, Y.Y., Karakaya, E. & Björklund, A., 2022b. Employing a socio-technical system approach in prospective life cycle assessment: A case of large-scale Swedish sustainable aviation fuels. Frontiers in Sustainability, 3.

Urban, F., Nurdiawati, A., Harahap, F., Morozovska, K., 2024. Decarbonizing maritime shipping and aviation: Disruption, regime resistance and breaking through carbon lock-in and path dependency in hard-to-abate transport sectors. Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, Vol. 52 (2024) 100854.

People in the project

Head of research

Frauke Urban, Professor, KTH

Project participants

  • Johan Nordensvärd, Docent, LiU
  • Anna Björklund, Professor, KTH
  • Emrah Karakaya, Associate Professor, KTH
  • Emily Christley, PhD
  • Celeste Lai, PhD

Project partners

  • KTH
  • Linköping Univeristy

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